Archive for category Big 10

Big Ten Tournament Breakdown

Posted by Rufio Magillicutty in Betting, Big 10, Featurific, NCAAB, Tournaments, efficiency on March 11, 2010

CBS Bracket here.

Bracket Project has four Big 10 teams in, with the lowest seed in conference at a 5 (Michigan State).  Illinois has a slim chance, heading outwards on that now proverbial S-curve, a solid showing in the Big 10 tournament may secure their position.  Here is how the chalk stipulation plays out.

First, using the average  spread appropriate throughout the conference season:

BIG10 TOURNAMENT AVERAGE SPREAD
Round 1
Round 2
Round 3
Final
Team / Spread ML
Team / Spread ML
Team / Spread ML
Team / Spread ML
Michigan -10 -531









Iowa 10 434
Michigan 6.5 239









Ohio State -6.5 -293












Ohio State -2 -143






Wisconsin -5.5 -242
Wisconsin 2 117






Illinois 5.5 198






Northwestern -7.5 -345






Ohio State 2 123
Indiana 7.5 282
Northwestern 11 485



Purdue -2 -150



Purdue -11 -592






Minnesota -9 -435



Purdue -2 -145



Penn State 9 356
Minnesota 3 140
Michigan State 2 119






Michigan St -3 -171


















The odds and some comparisons if such were played out:

Big10 Average Spread Odds
Team True Odds SBET GREEK BODOG
Purdue 235 450 350 450
Ohio State 428 150 250 175
Michigan State 583 175 200 215
Wisconsin 747 200 200 200
Minnesota 1765 1500 2000 2000
Illinois 4488 1300 1500 2000
Michigan 4600 6500 2000 3000
Northwestern 15773 5000 1500 4000
Penn State 169364 7000 2500 3000
Iowa 321421 110000 2500 3000
Indiana 1023844 100000 2500 3000

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