Archive for category CUSA

CUSA Tournament Odds Comparison

Official Bracket is here.

The latest Bracket Project has two CUSA teams firmly in the tournament.  UTEP and Memphis sitting at 9 and 12 seed respectively.  Tulsa and UAB both having poor ends to the season, and Marshall lacking in quality wins, has really marred any chance the conference had of commandeering spots otherwise reserved for disappointing SEC and the gorgeously mediocre PAC10.

Here are how the true odds played out using the system I’ve had in place with all these tournament breakdowns (ACC, Big12, Big East, A10).

CUSA Championship Efficiency Odds
Team True Odds SBET GREEK 5DIMES
UTEP 260 175 175 175
Memphis 330 275 200 275
Marshall 394 450 300 675
UAB 1642 400 500 450
Houston 2219 1700 2500 2800
Tulsa 6268 350 750 575
SMU 10168 7500 2500 8000
Southern Miss 13353 1400 2000 2000
UCF 157085 2200 2500 50000
Tulane 418262 8000 2500 100000
East Carolina 1629584 10000 2500 100000
Rice 5160035 10000 2500 100000

CUSA Championship Average Spread Odds
Team True Odds SBET GREEK SIA
Memphis 273 275 200 275
UTEP 303 175 175 175
UAB 876 400 500 450
Marshall 1077 450 300 675
Tulsa 1099 350 750 575
Houston 1846 1700 2500 2800
Southern Miss 9338 1400 2000 2000
UCF 26606 10000 3000 3000
SMU 27891 7500 2500 8000
Tulane 128732 8000 2500 100000
Rice 549871 10000 2500 100000
East Carolina 2867292 10000 2500 100000

Houston appears to have real value here. Again like I pointed out before, don’t be fooled by the odds set by sportsbooks, unless you can actually find an advantage. The Cougars might be playing for the sake of their coach, Tom Penders, who has seemingly underachieved to a degree. Houston usually has excellent guard play. A shortage of a competitive mentality that is bred by unrelenting hustle and defense, invariably leads to their perennial disappointment. They are however 1st in the country in protecting the basketball, pretty impressive for a team that pushes tempo. Impressive wins over the top two teams in the league, UTEP and Memphis. There really is some value with Houston.

UAB and Tulsa should to a degree draw inspiration from desperation, yet the future value is nonexistent. Look for open parlays if you feel inclined to take a shot on either.

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