MLB First Half Assessment


As the season drags along one can only hope that with boredom comes the prospect of pecuniary enhancement.  Having fluctuated between mediocre to pitiful to mediocre, that prospect has been strung out to levels of repulsion for having delved into the abyss of baseball degeneracy in the first place, where now one’s ultimate ambition is merely to restrain one’s self from from becoming fully of a pugnacious sort towards society, for the concept of time now becomes a stringent element that takes a conscious aim at a person’s will, during the inevitable introspection induced by a long baseball season.

The coming football season provides a welcome respite during the week where thought serves as a substitute for ineffable calculations, as the lack of weekday games breeds such measures of repose.

Notwithstanding the aforementioned dirge and its implications, I love baseball, seriously.  And the tables below show how much love I have for the game.  The tables speak for themselves, the process described here.  Like I said before, not finishing in the top six in either league in terms of average line does not bode well for playoff hopes.  In fact it doesn’t bode at all.  Since 2005 not one team out of the top six in average line in either league has made the playoffs.

The Line / Win Correlation is currently at a healthy 86%.

NATIONAL LEAGUE

DIFF column is the percentage ratio between LW% and actual W%.  A positive meaning that have underperformed expectation, while the opposite is true for a negative number.

Its interesting that the division leaders come from the 5,7, and 10 spot in the average line ranking.  Something has to give.  Either the 1H of the season is a very poor effort put forth by the lines men, or the respective average lines of the division leaders sets a very inauspicious scenario for the 2H of the season.  For me I hope the former is the case.  GO Padres!!

AMERICAN LEAGUE

The assumption can be made that expectation will at some point reconcile with reality.  For the National League because the 1H has been so incessantly recalcitrant,  an amalgam of variables would have to lead to a more efficient reconfiguration of the average line standings, and may thwart the last five years of a playoff appearance procured by a solid standing in relation to the average line.  But with the exception of the White Sox and Mariners, the AL has appropriated itself in accordance with the measures of the oddsmakers.  In my opinion the White Sox will not be able to maintain their division lead, especially now with Peavy out of the rotation with an injury.  Just through a brief survey of the Starting Pitcher Report and the table above, the Twins appear primed to assert AL Central dominance in the coming months.

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