Breaking Down the ALDS: Yankees @ Twins


Basics explained here.

Pinnacle Game 1: Yankees -145, Twins +136

Minnesota NY Yankees
Game 1 Francisco Liriano CC Sabathia
Game 2 Carl Pavano Andy Pettite
Game 3 Brian Duensing Phillip Hughes
Game 4 Nick Blackburn* CC Sabathia*
Game 5 Francisco Liriano* Andy Pettite*

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Game 1 Game 2
Team Listed Me Team Listed Me
Yankees Sabathia 103 Yankees Pettitte -103
Twins Liriano -103 Twins Pavano 103
Game 3 Game 4
Team Listed Me Team Listed Me
Twins Duensing 142 Twins Blackburn* 209
Yankees Hughes -142 Yankees Sabathia* -209
Game 5
Team Listed Me
Yankees Pettitte* 119
Twins Liriano* -119

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ALDS ODDS
Team SWEEP 3-1 3-2 ODDS PINNACLE
Yankees 584 273 466 -145 -184
Twins 865 774 401 140 166

*HFA = 4.2%

The outlook for the Yankees lay heavily on at least a split in Minnesota, despite their tenuous starting rotation.  Game 3 and certainly Game 4 they appear to be size-able favorites, although if Game 4 turns out to be a deciding game then Minnesota may be forced to send Liriano to the mound out of desperation.  Its well known how the Yankees have devastated the Twins postseason prospects during the last decade, seemingly year after year.  However, Minnesota’s new stadium may spark the proverbial ‘steroid jerk’ (not to be overly derisive, merely quoting “Tin Cup” in a different context).

My series line of -145 differs considerably from the Pinnacle no-vig price of -172, so a solid lean to the Twins.

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